Hit-and-run accidents fell after California gave those here illegally driver's licenses, study finds
By Benjamin Oreskes
April 3, 2017, 12:00 PM - LA Times
A California law giving immigrants here illegally the ability to get driver's
licenses appears to have helped decrease hit-and-run accidents, according to a
Stanford University study released Monday.
The controversial law, part of a larger effort by state officials to provide
rights and services to California residents in the country illegally, resulted
in more than 850,000 people getting driverfs licenses since the law took effect
in 2015.
Supporters of the measure argued that it would make California roads safer
because those here illegally would be forced to take driverfs tests and would be
less likely to flee from accidents out of fear of being arrested or
deported.
The Stanford study estimated that the rate of hit-and-run accidents decreased
at least 7% in 2015 compared with 2014. Using a complex formula, the researchers
concluded that there were 4,000 fewer hit-and-runs that year because of the new
law.
The Department of Motor Vehicles would not release data on who got the new
licenses on a county-by-county basis. So the research team of Hans Lueders, Jens
Hainmueller and Duncan Lawrence had to estimate how many new licenses in each
county were given to people here illegally.
Hainmueller, a political science professor, said in an interview that the
team looked at driverfs licenses issued in the years before the law took effect.
In 2015, the number of licenses issued in certain counties with large
populations of people here illegally jumped dramatically. They then compared
those data to hit-and-run records in those counties and determined they had
decreased.
This marked the first time researchers had tried to measure the effects of
this policy change.
gWe were really interested in part because California is not
the only state to have implemented this law,h said Lawrence, another study
author and a political science researcher.
The license is intended for people who cannot show proof of legal resident
status in the United States. This license though has limits. For example, a
Californian couldnft use an AB-60 license to board an airplane or cross into
Canada.
There are 12 states and the District of Columbia with similar laws on the
books. Hainmueller pointed out that New York state is currently debating a
similar bill, and that the debate there is occurring without much evidence about
whether these laws are helpful.
gItfs shocking to see how you have these controversial debates and everyone
is flying blind in terms of evidence,h Hainmueller said. gPeople in favor of it
love it, and people against immigration hate it.h
Researchers posited that this new law would give people who may have been
driving without a license a new confidence about being on the roads. Before, if
they had been in a fender-bender, they may have been worried about waiting for
authorities to arrive. These results suggest gthat, if anything, providing
unauthorized immigrants access to driverfs licenses reduced their incentives to
flee the scene of an accident,h the authors of the study write.
The study finds that this reduction in hit-and-runs had a marked economic
benefit. gBecause AB60 led to an annual decline in hit and run accidents by
about 4,000, not-at-fault drivers avoided out of pocket expenses for car repairs
(physical damage) of about $3.5 million,h according to the researchers.
Thatfs on top of $17 million per year that they estimate would be transferred
to the at-fault driversf insurance. Thatfs the cost, which in case of an
accident, would be levied on the responsible party. In the past a hit-and-run
victim's own insurance providers wouldfve had to pick up the tab on this
expense.
gWe think the law should lower premiums for California drivers because youfre
moving the payments to at-fault drivers,h Lawrence said.